Please note the pitfalls and caveats when doing ARIMA.

To use the ARIMA model for places like the US, we should take the log of the number of reports and fit a trend to it. Here’s a query that will do that:

Analyzing COVID-19 with BigQuery

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Lak Lakshmanan

Felipe Hoffa

1 min readApr 2, 2020

Please note the pitfalls and caveats when doing ARIMA. I published the results of these queries (comparing predictions to the actual numbers) in my post “COVID-19 ARIMA predictions are worthless”.